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CNN analyst Harry Enten forecasts Democratic gains in the November midterm elections

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Coverage spectrum

Covered by 3 outlets, mostly left-leaning (67%).

3 articles in total. The spectrum counts each outlet once and leaves opinion out. How we measure bias

CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten said on Sunday that polling and data point toward a large Democratic win in the November 3 midterm elections. According to Enten, Democrats lead the generic congressional ballot by 10 points, up from 4 points a year ago, and he put their chance of a runaway House victory at 69 percent, against 2 percent for Republicans. Enten also said Democrats are favored to win a Senate majority, while cautioning that Republicans have a history of being underestimated in polling. These projections are Enten’s own analysis of polls, not results.

Headline and summary written by Mantle’s AI from the coverage below, under published rules. How this works

What happened

Key points

Each point shows who reports it, from Far Left to Far Right.

  1. Enten said Democrats lead the generic congressional ballot by 10 points, up from 4 points a year ago.

    One outletThe Daily Beast· Far Left

  2. Enten put the chance of a runaway House win for Democrats at 69 percent and for Republicans at 2 percent.

    One outletHuffPost· Far Left

  3. Enten projected Democrats on track for 238 House seats in the November 3 election.

    One outletThe Daily Beast· Far Left

  4. Enten said Democrats are favored to win a Senate majority or come out on top in both chambers.

    Reported byFar Left2Right1See the outletsHide the outlets
    Far Left
    The Daily Beast, HuffPost
    Right
    Daily Mail

  5. Enten cautioned that Republicans have a history of being underestimated in polling.

    One outletHuffPost· Far Left

How each side tells it

Compare views

All sides present report that CNN analyst Harry Enten forecasts Democratic gains in the November midterms and a possible Senate majority. The left headlines emphasize a Democratic blowout and Trump’s party facing defeat, while the right’s single report frames the forecast as a dramatic claim by a CNN data guru.

  • the left

    2 outlets

    Headlines present Enten’s forecast as a warning of a Democratic blowout and a defeat for Trump’s party, with the Daily Beast framing it as a warning aimed at Trump.

    CNN Data Guru Loaded verb“Warns Trump”Enten makes a forecast from polling, so framing the piece as a warning to Trump adds an adversarial tone.More neutral: Forecasts Democratic gains against Trump’s partyDisagree with this highlight? That a ‘Blowout’ Is on the Way
    The Daily BeastFar LeftAll left-leaning headlines

  • the center

    No coverage yet

    No center outlet that Mantle follows has covered this story yet. That absence is part of the picture.

  • the right

    1 outlet

    The single right-side report frames the forecast as a CNN data guru claiming the midterms are in blowout territory as Democrats gain in polls.

    CNN data guru claims midterm elections in 'blowout territory' as Democrats gain in polls
    Daily MailRightAll right-leaning headlines

The words they chose

Language to notice

Words that carry a judgement beyond the facts. Tap a highlighted word anywhere on the page to see why.

  • Left1

    Warns Trump

  • Center

    Has not covered this story.

  • Right2

    stunningdevastating

In the outlets’ own words

  • Sensational language

    stunningMore neutral: large

    The adjective adds drama that the forecast itself does not require.

    Democrats could be heading for a stunning midterm election landslide that would wrest control of Congress from Republicans,…

    Used byDaily Mail (Right)

  • Sensational language

    devastatingMore neutral: difficult

    The word adds a judgement of harm to the forecast beyond the projected result.

    …chief data analyst Harry Enten says the numbers are pointing toward a potentially devastating night for President Donald Trump's party.

    Used byDaily Mail (Right)

  • Loaded verb

    Warns TrumpMore neutral: Forecasts Democratic gains against Trump’s party

    Enten makes a forecast from polling, so framing the piece as a warning to Trump adds an adversarial tone.

    CNN Data Guru Warns Trump That a ‘Blowout’ Is on the Way

    Used byThe Daily Beast (Far Left)

See the full language guide

See for yourself

Side by side

What each side leads with and what it leaves out. Open a side to read its headlines.

From the left

2 outlets

Leads with

  • Democratic blowout
  • Trump’s party facing defeat
  • Enten’s numbers and forecast
  • Trump’s approval rating
See the 2 headlines from the leftHide the headlines
  • HuffPostFar Left

    Harry Enten Says Midterms Are Heading Toward ‘Blowout Territory’

    But CNN’s data analyst did issue an important caveat.

    Read at HuffPost (opens in a new tab)
  • The Daily BeastFar Left

    CNN Data Guru Loaded verb“Warns Trump”Enten makes a forecast from polling, so framing the piece as a warning to Trump adds an adversarial tone.More neutral: Forecasts Democratic gains against Trump’s partyDisagree with this highlight? That a ‘Blowout’ Is on the Way

    Harry Enten has crunched the midterm numbers, and he says Donald Trump’s party is facing a blowout. Enten, CNN’s chief data analyst, said Democrats now lead the generic congressional ballot by 10 points, up from 4 points a year ago. …

    Read at The Daily Beast (opens in a new tab)

From the center

0 outlets

No center outlet that Mantle follows has covered this story yet. That absence is part of the picture.

From the right

1 outlet

Leads with

  • Dramatic CNN forecast
  • Democratic landslide
  • Blow to Trump’s party
  • Possible Senate majority
See the headline from the rightHide the headlines
  • Daily MailRight

    CNN data guru claims midterm elections in 'blowout territory' as Democrats gain in polls

    CNN data guru Harry Enten has warned that the midterm elections are heading into 'blowout territory,' with Democrats poised for major gains.

    Read at Daily Mail (opens in a new tab)

Articles you open from here build My Mix, a private picture of how your reading spreads across the spectrum, kept on this device. What is My Mix?

The left is Far Left and Left together. The right is Right and Far Right together. Every outlet keeps its own five-point rating.

Who reported it when

How the coverage built up

  • Left

    7 hr 12 min later

    Its first report, Oct 26, 4:39 AM EDT

  • Center

    No report yet

    From the outlets Mantle follows

  • Right

    First to report

    Daily Mail, Oct 25, 9:27 PM EDT

See the order the outlets reported inHide the order
  1. Daily MailRightOct 25, 9:27 PM EDT
  2. The Daily BeastFar LeftOct 26, 4:39 AM EDT
  3. HuffPostFar LeftOct 26, 5:59 AM EDT

Times are the ones the outlets published in their own feeds, in Eastern time. Opinion is left out.

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