PoliticsAnalysisUpdated 1 hr ago

Polls show Democrats leading or tied in key Senate races before the midterms

Coverage spectrum

Covered by 4 outlets across the spectrum.

7 articles in total, 3 of them opinion. The spectrum counts each outlet once and leaves opinion out. How we measure bias

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A New York Times/Siena University poll released Sunday shows Democrats ahead of or tied with Republicans in several key Senate races before Tuesday's election. The Hill reports Democrats hold an 11-point lead in the Michigan race and says most of the seven competitive races show statistical ties. The Times reports Democrats lead in most of the seven tossup races, though some remain close. The Washington Examiner reports that likely voters who decided only recently favored Republicans by nine points, despite an overall Democratic advantage. ABC News says the poll shows Democrats gaining ground and slightly pulling ahead in key Senate races.

Headline and summary written by Mantle’s AI from the coverage below, under published rules. How this works

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The coverage spectrum counts the outlets covering a story at each of five points. A short or missing segment means that part of the spectrum is mostly quiet.

Governor Loaded verb“slams”It adds drama to what was said. The governor criticized the lawmakers; “slams” makes it sound like a fight.More neutral: criticizes lawmakers over budget delay

Highlights mark words that carry a judgement. Tap one to see why, and what a neutral writer would say. Here it is “criticizes”.

The 5-point spectrum

Far Left
Voices that strongly advocate for progressive policies and systemic change.
Left
Mainstream liberal perspectives focusing on social equality and regulation.
Center
Sources that prioritize neutral reporting and balanced viewpoints.
Right
Mainstream conservative perspectives focusing on market freedom and tradition.
Far Right
Voices that strongly advocate for conservative values and limited government.

How we measure bias

What happened

Key points

Each point shows who reports it, from Far Left to Far Right.

A New York Times/Siena University poll released Sunday shows Democrats ahead of or tied with Republicans in key Senate races.
Reported byLeft2Center1Right1See the outletsHide the outlets
Left
The New York Times, ABC News
Center
The Hill
Right
Washington Examiner
Democrats lead in most of the seven tossup Senate races, though some contests remain close, according to the poll.
One side only: the leftReported byLeft2See the outletsHide the outlets
Left
The New York Times, ABC News
The poll shows a Democratic lead of 11 points in the Michigan Senate race.
One outletThe Hill· Center
Most of the seven competitive Senate races show statistical ties between the parties, according to the poll.
One outletThe Hill· Center
Likely voters who decided only in the last month favored Republicans by nine points, according to the poll.
One outletWashington Examiner· Right

How each side tells it

Compare views

Every side reports that a New York Times/Siena poll shows Democrats leading or tied in key Senate races before Tuesday’s vote. The left and center stress Democratic leads and statistical ties, while the right stresses that late-deciding voters favored Republicans by nine points.

the left
2 outlets
Headlines stress Democratic strength and momentum, such as a blue surge and gaining ground, while opinion headlines question whether the polls can be trusted.
WATCH: A look at the state of the midterm races
ABC NewsLeftAll left-leaning headlines
the center
1 outlet
The Hill headline reports Democrats edging out Republicans in seven races and notes that most show statistical ties, a measured reading of the lead.
Democrats edge out Republicans in 7 heated Senate races: NYT polls
The HillCenterAll center headlines
the right
1 outlet
The Washington Examiner headline leads with the nine-point edge for Republicans among late deciders, framing the overall Democratic lead as qualified.
Late deciders favor Republicans in key Senate races by nine-point margin despite strong Democratic lead: Poll
Washington ExaminerRightAll right-leaning headlines

The words they chose

Language to notice

Words that carry a judgement beyond the facts. Tap a highlighted word anywhere on the page to see why.

Left1
Blue Surge
Center0
No loaded words in its own voice.
Right0
No loaded words in its own voice.

In the outlets’ own words

Sensational language
Blue SurgeMore neutral: Democratic gains in final polls
A color label and dramatic noun describe a poll lead in a way that adds emphasis beyond the figures.
The Final Polls Show a Blue Surge.
Used byThe New York Times (Left)

See the full language guide

See for yourself

Side by side

What each side leads with and what it leaves out. Open a side to read its headlines.

From the left

2 outlets

Leads with

Democratic leads in key Senate races
Democrats gaining ground
New York Times/Siena polling

Leaves out

Late-deciding voters favoring Republicans by nine points

Reported by other sides, not found in this side’s coverage.

See the 2 headlines from the leftHide the headlines

ABC NewsLeft
WATCH: A look at the state of the midterm races
ABC News' Senior Political Correspondent Rachel Scott breaks down the state of play as a new New York Times/Siena poll shows Democrats are gaining ground, slightly pulling ahead in key Senate races.
1 hr agoRead at ABC News (opens in a new tab)
The New York TimesLeft
Our Final Polls
We look at our final polls before the midterms.
2 hr agoRead at The New York Times (opens in a new tab)
3 more from The New York Times

From the center

1 outlet

Leads with

Democrats edging out Republicans in seven races
Statistical ties in most races

See the headline from the centerHide the headlines

The HillCenter
Democrats edge out Republicans in 7 heated Senate races: NYT polls
Democrats are edging out their Republican counterparts in seven competitive Senate races ahead of Tuesday’s election, though the majority of them show statistical ties between the two parties, according to new polling. …
10 hr agoRead at The Hill (opens in a new tab)

From the right

1 outlet

Leads with

Late-deciding voters favoring Republicans
Nine-point margin for Republicans
Overall Democratic advantage

See the headline from the rightHide the headlines

Washington ExaminerRight
Late deciders favor Republicans in key Senate races by nine-point margin despite strong Democratic lead: Poll
Likely voters who decided which candidate to support only recently in seven key Senate races favor Republicans despite an overall Democratic advantage, according to a new poll released Sunday night. …
9 hr agoRead at Washington Examiner (opens in a new tab)

The stories you read build My Mix, a private picture of which sides cover the stories you choose, kept on this device. What is My Mix?

The left is Far Left and Left together. The right is Right and Far Right together. Every outlet keeps its own five-point rating.

Who reported it when

How the coverage built up

Left
8 hr 45 min later
Its first report, Nov 2, 6:48 AM EST
Center
First to report
The Hill, Nov 1, 10:03 PM EST
Right
1 hr 36 min later
Its first report, Nov 1, 11:40 PM EST

See the order the outlets reported inHide the order

The HillCenterNov 1, 10:03 PM EST
Washington ExaminerRightNov 1, 11:40 PM EST
The New York TimesLeftNov 2, 6:48 AM EST
ABC NewsLeftNov 2, 7:32 AM EST

Times are the ones the outlets published in their own feeds, in Eastern time. Opinion is left out.

Polls show Democrats leading or tied in key Senate races before the midterms

Coverage spectrum

Key points

Compare views

the left

the center

the right

Language to notice

In the outlets’ own words

Side by side

From the left

WATCH: A look at the state of the midterm races

Our Final Polls

From the center

Democrats edge out Republicans in 7 heated Senate races: NYT polls

From the right

Late deciders favor Republicans in key Senate races by nine-point margin despite strong Democratic lead: Poll

How the coverage built up

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