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NFL asks Supreme Court to rule states can regulate prediction markets like Kalshi

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Coverage spectrum

Covered by 11 outlets across the spectrum.

16 articles in total, 1 of them opinion. The spectrum counts each outlet once and leaves opinion out. How we measure bias

Hand holding smartphone displaying Kalshi logo, with large Kalshi logo glowing behind.
Image via The HillHow images are chosenReport this image

The NFL filed an amicus brief supporting New Jersey regulators in their dispute with prediction-market platform Kalshi, urging the Supreme Court to rule that sports-related event contracts amount to gambling and should fall under state regulation rather than exclusive federal oversight by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. The league said that on the first Sunday of the season, football accounted for $1.8 billion of $3.3 billion in prediction-market trading volume, according to its brief. The NFL said it is not opposed to prediction markets but wants “robust safeguards” against manipulation. A bipartisan coalition of states had separately petitioned the Court on the issue. Kalshi has argued its contracts are federally regulated financial swaps, not gambling.

Headline and summary written by Mantle’s AI from the coverage below, under published rules. How this works

What happened

Key points

Each point shows who reports it, from Far Left to Far Right.

  1. The NFL filed an amicus brief supporting New Jersey regulators in their dispute with Kalshi.

    Across the spectrumReported byLeft3Center2Right2Far Right3See the outletsHide the outlets
    Left
    Bloomberg, ABC News, CBS News
    Center
    CNBC, The Hill
    Right
    New York Post, The Washington Times
    Far Right
    The Daily Caller, Breitbart News, RedState

  2. The NFL argues sports-related prediction market contracts are gambling, not federally regulated financial swaps.

    Reported byLeft3Center1Right2Far Right3See the outletsHide the outlets
    Left
    Bloomberg, ABC News, CBS News
    Center
    CNBC
    Right
    New York Post, The Washington Times
    Far Right
    The Daily Caller, Breitbart News, RedState

  3. The NFL said that on the first Sunday of the season, football accounted for $1.8 billion of $3.3 billion in total prediction-market trading volume, according to its brief.

    Reported byLeft2Center1Right1Far Right3See the outletsHide the outlets
    Left
    ABC News, CBS News
    Center
    CNBC
    Right
    New York Post
    Far Right
    The Daily Caller, Breitbart News, RedState

  4. A bipartisan coalition of states separately urged the Supreme Court to take up the regulatory dispute.

    Reported byLeft1Center1See the outletsHide the outlets
    Left
    CBS News
    Center
    The Hill

  5. The NFL said it is not opposed to prediction markets but wants stronger safeguards against manipulation, such as on contracts tied to specific plays.

    Reported byCenter1Far Right1See the outletsHide the outlets
    Center
    CNBC
    Far Right
    RedState
Show 2 more pointsShow fewer points

  1. Bloomberg reported that the NFL's position puts it at odds with the Trump administration.

    One outletBloomberg· Left

  2. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission has maintained it has exclusive federal jurisdiction over these contracts.

    One side only: the leftReported byLeft2See the outletsHide the outlets
    Left
    ABC News, CBS News

What is contested

Where accounts differ

Points the coverage does not agree on, and who says what.

  • Whether prediction market sports contracts are gambling products or federally regulated financial swaps.

    The NFL and the states argue the contracts are effectively sports gambling and should be regulated by states; Kalshi has argued in court that they are swaps under exclusive federal CFTC jurisdiction.

How each side tells it

Compare views

  • the left

    3 outlets

    Left-side headlines state the NFL's request plainly, with Bloomberg additionally framing it as a clash with the Trump administration while ABC (via AP) and CBS stick to straightforward procedural wording.

    NFL Asks Supreme Court to Let States Regulate Event Markets
    BloombergLeftAll left-leaning headlines

  • the center

    2 outlets

    Center headlines across multiple Hill articles and CNBC describe the filing procedurally, with one Hill piece separately covering the states' coalition petition.

    NFL urges Supreme Court to look at prediction markets
    The HillCenterAll center headlines

  • the right

    6 outlets · 1 opinion

    Right-side headlines mostly describe the NFL's request to classify prediction markets as gambling, while RedState uses a more sensational, opinionated framing suggesting the NFL is acting out of self-interest.

    The NFL Chooses States, Not the CFTC, in Fight Over Prediction Market Regulation
    ReasonRightAll right-leaning headlines

The words they chose

Language to notice

Words that carry a judgement beyond the facts. Tap a highlighted word anywhere on the page to see why.

  • Left1

    high-stakes clash

  • Center0

    No loaded words in its own voice.

  • Right3

    gambling problemDesperate AppealWill Have Fans Cheering

In the outlets’ own words

  • Sensational language

    high-stakes clashMore neutral: dispute

    Dramatic framing that amplifies the stakes of a legal dispute beyond a neutral description of a regulatory disagreement.

    …markets in a stance putting it at odds with the Trump administration in a high-stakes clash.

    Used byBloomberg (Left)

  • Loaded modifier

    gambling problemMore neutral: regulatory concern about gambling-like products

    Frames the NFL's concern as a personal flaw or addiction-like issue rather than neutrally describing its regulatory position.

    The NFL has a gambling problem.

    Used byRedState (Far Right)

  • Loaded modifier

    Desperate AppealMore neutral: Appeal

    Characterizes the NFL's legal filing as born of desperation rather than describing it neutrally as a request or petition.

    The NFL Makes a Desperate Appeal to the Supreme Court.

    Used byRedState (Far Right)

  • Sensational language

    Will Have Fans CheeringMore neutral: could affect fans

    Presents a prediction of public reaction as fact to create a dramatic hook rather than describing the filing's content.

    The Reason Will Have Fans Cheering.

    Used byRedState (Far Right)

Words quoted from someone else (1)Hide the quoted words

Loaded words that outlets reported someone else saying. They show what was said, not how the outlet chose to say it.

  • Sensational language

    Quoted

    hopelessly confused and dividedMore neutral: in conflict

    Strong, dramatic language characterizing the state of the courts is quoted from the states' filing rather than the outlet's own neutral description.

    …states can regulate prediction markets, warning that lower judges are “hopelessly confused and divided.” Last month, New Jersey petitioned the justices to decide the issue that…

    Quoted byThe Hill (Center)

    Inside a quotation: the outlets are reporting someone else’s words.

See the full language guide

See for yourself

Side by side

What each side leads with and what it leaves out. Open a side to read its headlines.

From the left

3 outlets

Leads with

  • the NFL's legal argument that contracts are gambling
  • the political dimension of opposing the administration's regulatory stance
  • quotes from the NFL's brief on consumer harm

Leaves out

  • the bipartisan states' coalition petition

Reported by other sides, not found in this side’s coverage.

See the 3 headlines from the leftHide the headlines

From the center

2 outlets

Leads with

  • procedural posture at the Supreme Court
  • state regulators' and NFL's shared position
  • the scale of prediction-market trading volume
See the 2 headlines from the centerHide the headlines

From the right

6 outlets · 1 opinion

Leads with

  • the NFL's characterization of Kalshi as effectively a sportsbook
  • the scale of football-related trading volume
  • age and consumer-protection concerns

Leaves out

  • the bipartisan states' coalition petition

Reported by other sides, not found in this side’s coverage.

See the 7 headlines from the rightHide the headlines
  • ReasonRight

    The NFL Chooses States, Not the CFTC, in Fight Over Prediction Market Regulation

    The league's amicus brief warns about game integrity and underage betting, but the NFL has a financial stake in keeping prediction markets under state control.

    Read at Reason (opens in a new tab)
  • Fox NewsFar Right

    NFL calls prediction markets a form of sports gambling, urges courts to let states regulate

    The National Football League filed an amicus brief arguing prediction markets like Kalshi should face state gambling regulation over game integrity.

    Read at Fox News (opens in a new tab)
  • Breitbart NewsFar Right

    NFL Asks Supreme Court to Rule Prediction Markets Are Gambling Apps

    The National Football League has entered before the highest court in the land to seek classification of prediction markets as gambling apps.

    Read at Breitbart News (opens in a new tab)
  • The Washington TimesRight

    NFL asks Supreme Court to treat prediction markets as gambling sites

    The NFL filed a brief to the Supreme Court Thursday arguing that sports contracts offered on prediction markets constitute gambling and should be regulated as such.

    Read at The Washington Times (opens in a new tab)
  • New York PostRight

    NFL urges Supreme Court to rule prediction markets are gambling apps

    On the first Sunday of the season, football accounted for $1.8 billion in prediction markets trading – more than half the total volume, the football league claimed.

    Read at New York Post (opens in a new tab)
  • The Daily CallerFar Right

    NFL Wants Supreme Court To Blow Whistle On Kalshi

    The NFL urged the Supreme Court to uphold state gambling laws, arguing that prediction markets like Kalshi threaten game integrity and consumer protections.

    Read at The Daily Caller (opens in a new tab)
  • RedStateFar RightOpinion

    The NFL Makes a Loaded modifier“Desperate Appeal”Characterizes the NFL's legal filing as born of desperation rather than describing it neutrally as a request or petition.More neutral: AppealDisagree with this highlight? to the Supreme Court. The Reason Sensational language“Will Have Fans Cheering”Presents a prediction of public reaction as fact to create a dramatic hook rather than describing the filing's content.More neutral: could affect fansDisagree with this highlight?.

    The NFL has a gambling problem. Or, more precisely, it has a problem with a rapidly expanding form of sports wagering that it believes is escaping the rules governing traditional sportsbooks.

    Read at RedState (opens in a new tab)

Articles you open from here build My Mix, a private picture of how your reading spreads across the spectrum, kept on this device. What is My Mix?

The left is Far Left and Left together. The right is Right and Far Right together. Every outlet keeps its own five-point rating.

Who reported it when

How the coverage built up

  • Left

    6 hr 51 min later

    Its first report, Oct 8, 12:50 PM EDT

  • Center

    First to report

    CNBC, Oct 8, 6:00 AM EDT

  • Right

    4 hr 47 min later

    Its first report, Oct 8, 10:47 AM EDT

See the order the outlets reported inHide the order
  1. CNBCCenterOct 8, 6:00 AM EDT
  2. The HillCenterOct 8, 8:38 AM EDT
  3. The Daily CallerFar RightOct 8, 10:47 AM EDT
  4. New York PostRightOct 8, 12:42 PM EDT
  5. BloombergLeftOct 8, 12:50 PM EDT
  6. The Washington TimesRightOct 8, 1:14 PM EDT
  7. Breitbart NewsFar RightOct 8, 2:12 PM EDT
  8. Fox NewsFar RightOct 8, 2:32 PM EDT
  9. ABC NewsLeftOct 8, 3:46 PM EDT
  10. CBS NewsLeftOct 8, 4:06 PM EDT
  11. ReasonRightOct 8, 5:45 PM EDT

Times are the ones the outlets published in their own feeds, in Eastern time. Opinion is left out.

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