NOAA's winter outlook forecasts wetter conditions across much of the U.S.

Coverage spectrum

Covered by 3 outlets, mostly left-leaning (67%).

3 articles in total. The spectrum counts each outlet once and leaves opinion out. How we measure bias

NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center released its winter outlook on Thursday, tying the forecast to a strong El Niño, a shifting pattern of Pacific Ocean temperatures. The Hill, citing Nexstar Media Wire, reports that the northern half of the country has the highest chance of above-average warmth from November through January, while a band of central and southern states has no clear lean. CBS News reports wetter-than-usual conditions for much of the South and drier-than-average conditions across the northern tier. The Guardian, citing the Associated Press, reports that the winter will likely be wetter and warmer but not necessarily snowier. The outlets say the forecast covers the coming winter months and that the strong El Niño is a major influence on the season.

Headline and summary written by Mantle’s AI from the coverage below, under published rules. How this works

New to Mantle? It shows who is covering each story across the political spectrum, and highlights loaded words. How to read a storyHide the guide

The coverage spectrum counts the outlets covering a story at each of five points. A short or missing segment means that part of the spectrum is mostly quiet.

Governor Loaded verb“slams”It adds drama to what was said. The governor criticized the lawmakers; “slams” makes it sound like a fight.More neutral: criticizes lawmakers over budget delay

Highlights mark words that carry a judgement. Tap one to see why, and what a neutral writer would say. Here it is “criticizes”.

The 5-point spectrum

Far Left
Voices that strongly advocate for progressive policies and systemic change.
Left
Mainstream liberal perspectives focusing on social equality and regulation.
Center
Sources that prioritize neutral reporting and balanced viewpoints.
Right
Mainstream conservative perspectives focusing on market freedom and tradition.
Far Right
Voices that strongly advocate for conservative values and limited government.

How we measure bias

What happened

Key points

Each point shows who reports it, from Far Left to Far Right.

NOAA released its winter outlook on Thursday, linking the forecast to a strong El Niño.
Reported byLeft2Center1See the outletsHide the outlets
Left
CBS News, The Guardian
Center
The Hill
The outlook projects wetter-than-average conditions for much of the South.
One side only: the leftReported byLeft2See the outletsHide the outlets
Left
CBS News, The Guardian
CBS News reports drier-than-average conditions are expected across the northern tier of the country.
One outletCBS News· Left
The northern half of the country has the highest chance of above-average warmth from November through January.
One outletThe Hill· Center
The Guardian reports the winter will likely be wetter and warmer but not necessarily snowier.
One outletThe Guardian· Left

How each side tells it

Compare views

All sides report NOAA’s Thursday winter outlook, linked to a strong El Niño, with wetter conditions in parts of the country. The center’s wire report stresses warmth in the northern states and a band of undecided states, while the left stresses drought relief and drier northern areas.

the left
2 outlets
Left headlines lead with rain, snow and drought relief, framing the outlook as a possible easing of long-running dry conditions.
Winter may bring snow and rain to some drought-stricken U.S. states
CBS NewsLeftAll left-leaning headlines
the center
1 outlet
The center’s only coverage is a Nexstar Media Wire report, whose neutral headline names the NOAA release and leads with the forecast rather than its impact.
Early winter weather predictions released by NOAA
The HillCenterAll center headlines
the right
No coverage yet
No right-leaning outlet that Mantle follows has covered this story yet. That absence is part of the picture.

The words they chose

Language to notice

Words that carry a judgement beyond the facts. Tap a highlighted word anywhere on the page to see why.

Mantle found no loaded language in this coverage. Every headline and opening was checked against Mantle’s published word list, and Mantle’s AI read all 3 articles in context. Straight reporting often has none.

See for yourself

Side by side

What each side leads with and what it leaves out. Open a side to read its headlines.

From the left

2 outlets

Leads with

drought relief
wetter conditions
snow and rain for the South

Leaves out

States with no clear forecast lean, including parts of Texas and California

Reported by other sides, not found in this side’s coverage.

See the 2 headlines from the leftHide the headlines

The GuardianLeftAssociated Press report
US winter is likely to be wetter and warmer, forecasters say, with more snow in the south
El Niño will likely shift weather patterns to bring more rain, but much snow still isn’t forecast for the northern sates Winter in the United States looks like it will generally be wetter and warmer, but not necessarily snowier, according to the federal government’s seasonal …
6 days agoRead at The Guardian (opens in a new tab)
CBS NewsLeft
Winter may bring snow and rain to some drought-stricken U.S. states
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's new winter weather outlook predicts wetter-than-usual conditions in some states plagued by long-standing drought.
6 days agoRead at CBS News (opens in a new tab)

From the center

1 outlet

Leads with

NOAA release
split seasonal forecast
El Niño as the driver

See the headline from the centerHide the headlines

The HillCenterNexstar Media Wire report
Early winter weather predictions released by NOAA
Brown Thanksgiving? Warm Christmas? It's possible, depending on where you live.
6 days agoRead at The Hill (opens in a new tab)

From the right

0 outlets

No right-leaning outlet that Mantle follows has covered this story yet. That absence is part of the picture.

Articles you open from here build My Mix, a private picture of how your reading spreads across the spectrum, kept on this device. What is My Mix?

The left is Far Left and Left together. The right is Right and Far Right together. Every outlet keeps its own five-point rating.

Who reported it when

How the coverage built up

Left
3 hr later
Its first report, Oct 15, 2:02 PM EDT
Center
First to report
The Hill, Oct 15, 11:00 AM EDT
Right
No report yet
From the outlets Mantle follows

See the order the outlets reported inHide the order

The HillCenterOct 15, 11:00 AM EDT
CBS NewsLeftOct 15, 2:02 PM EDT
The GuardianLeftOct 15, 4:44 PM EDT

Times are the ones the outlets published in their own feeds, in Eastern time. Opinion is left out.

NOAA's winter outlook forecasts wetter conditions across much of the U.S.

Coverage spectrum

Key points

Compare views

the left

the center

the right

Language to notice

Side by side

From the left

US winter is likely to be wetter and warmer, forecasters say, with more snow in the south

Winter may bring snow and rain to some drought-stricken U.S. states

From the center

Early winter weather predictions released by NOAA

From the right

How the coverage built up

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